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Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change

Woolway, R. Iestyn (author)
Dundalk Inst Technol, Ctr Freshwater & Environm Studies, Dundalk, Ireland.;ECSAT, European Space Agcy Climate Off, Didcot, Oxon, England.
Sharma, Sapna (author)
York Univ, Dept Biol, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Weyhenmeyer, Gesa A. (author)
Uppsala universitet,Limnologi
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Debolskiy, Andrey (author)
Lomonosov Moscow State Univ, Res Comp Ctr, Moscow, Russia.;Russian Acad Sci, Obukhov Inst Atmospher Phys, Moscow, Russia.;Moscow Ctr Fundamental & Appl Math, Moscow, Russia.
Golub, Malgorzata (author)
Uppsala universitet,Limnologi
Mercado-Bettin, Daniel (author)
Catalan Inst Water Res, Girona, Spain.;Univ Girona, Girona, Spain.
Perroud, Marjorie (author)
Univ Geneva, Inst Environm Sci, Geneva, Switzerland.
Stepanenko, Victor (author)
Lomonosov Moscow State Univ, Res Comp Ctr, Moscow, Russia.;Moscow Ctr Fundamental & Appl Math, Moscow, Russia.
Tan, Zeli (author)
Pacific Northwest Natl Lab, Washington, DC USA.
Grant, Luke (author)
Vrije Univ Brussel, Dept Hydrol & Hydraul Engn, Brussels, Belgium.
Ladwig, Robert (author)
Univ Wisconsin, Ctr Limnol, Madison, WI 53706 USA.
Mesman, Jorrit P., 1993- (author)
Uppsala universitet,Limnologi,Univ Geneva, Inst Environm Sci, Geneva, Switzerland.;Univ Geneva, Dept FA Forel Environm & Aquat Sci, Geneva, Switzerland.
Moore, Tadhg N. (author)
Dundalk Inst Technol, Ctr Freshwater & Environm Studies, Dundalk, Ireland.;Virginia Tech, Dept Biol Sci, Blacksburg, VA USA.
Shatwell, Tom (author)
UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Dept Lake Res, Magdeburg, Germany.
Vanderkelen, Inne (author)
Vrije Univ Brussel, Dept Hydrol & Hydraul Engn, Brussels, Belgium.
Austin, Jay A. (author)
Univ Minnesota, Large Lakes Observ, Duluth, MN 55812 USA.;Univ Minnesota, Dept Phys & Astron, Duluth, MN 55812 USA.
DeGasperi, Curtis L. (author)
King Cty Water & Land Resources Div, Seattle, WA USA.
Dokulil, Martin (author)
Univ Innsbruck, Res Dept Limnol, Mondsee, Austria.
La Fuente, Sofia (author)
Dundalk Inst Technol, Ctr Freshwater & Environm Studies, Dundalk, Ireland.
Mackay, Eleanor B. (author)
Lancaster Environm Ctr, UK Ctr Ecol & Hydrol, Lancaster, England.
Schladow, S. Geoffrey (author)
Univ Calif Davis, Tahoe Environm Res Ctr, Davis, CA 95616 USA.
Watanabe, Shohei (author)
Univ Calif Davis, Tahoe Environm Res Ctr, Davis, CA 95616 USA.
Marce, Rafael (author)
Catalan Inst Water Res, Girona, Spain.;Univ Girona, Girona, Spain.
Pierson, Don (author)
Uppsala universitet,Limnologi
Thiery, Wim (author)
Vrije Univ Brussel, Dept Hydrol & Hydraul Engn, Brussels, Belgium.
Jennings, Eleanor (author)
Dundalk Inst Technol, Ctr Freshwater & Environm Studies, Dundalk, Ireland.
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Dundalk Inst Technol, Ctr Freshwater & Environm Studies, Dundalk, Ireland;ECSAT, European Space Agcy Climate Off, Didcot, Oxon, England. York Univ, Dept Biol, Toronto, ON, Canada. (creator_code:org_t)
2021-04-19
2021
English.
In: Nature Communications. - : Springer Nature. - 2041-1723. ; 12:1
Related links:
https://doi.org/10.1...
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https://uu.diva-port... (primary) (Raw object)
https://www.nature.c...
https://urn.kb.se/re...
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  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)
Abstract Subject headings
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  • One of the most important physical characteristics driving lifecycle events in lakes is stratification. Already subtle variations in the timing of stratification onset and break-up (phenology) are known to have major ecological effects, mainly by determining the availability of light, nutrients, carbon and oxygen to organisms. Despite its ecological importance, historic and future global changes in stratification phenology are unknown. Here, we used a lake-climate model ensemble and long-term observational data, to investigate changes in lake stratification phenology across the Northern Hemisphere from 1901 to 2099. Under the high-greenhouse-gas-emission scenario, stratification will begin 22.0 +/- 7.0 days earlier and end 11.3 +/- 4.7 days later by the end of this century. It is very likely that this 33.3 +/- 11.7 day prolongation in stratification will accelerate lake deoxygenation with subsequent effects on nutrient mineralization and phosphorus release from lake sediments. Further misalignment of lifecycle events, with possible irreversible changes for lake ecosystems, is also likely.

Subject headings

NATURVETENSKAP  -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Oceanografi, hydrologi och vattenresurser (hsv//swe)
NATURAL SCIENCES  -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources (hsv//eng)

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